NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW COPP
Points 75.4 61.9
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 17.1
Points From Free Throws 19.4 13.5
Shooting HOW COPP
Field Goals Made 23.9 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 54.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 19.4 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 18.5
Free Throw % 76.0% 72.6%
Ball Control HOW COPP
Rebounds 40.2 26.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 18.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 8.3
Turnovers 14.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 14.9 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW COPP
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 66.4
% of Possessions with HOW COPP
2 Point Attempt 36.0% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 22.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.1%
Turnover 21.1% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW COPP
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 40.1% 23.0%