NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU UND
Points 72.4 75.4
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 21.5
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.5
Shooting NDSU UND
Field Goals Made 26.9 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 59.2
Field Goal % 48.0% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 17.4
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.7%
Ball Control NDSU UND
Rebounds 32.0 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.0
Turnovers 10.2 7.6
Blocked Shots 1.0 3.6
Steals 3.5 5.7
Fouls 13.9 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU UND
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 70.2
% of Possessions with NDSU UND
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.2%
Turnover 14.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU UND
Shot Blocked 6.1% 1.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 26.3%