NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW ND
Points 65.5 76.5
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 26.2
Points From Free Throws 14.1 15.9
Shooting HOW ND
Field Goals Made 22.3 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 54.0
Field Goal % 40.6% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 14.1 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 21.6
Free Throw % 76.0% 73.7%
Ball Control HOW ND
Rebounds 31.6 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.0
Turnovers 11.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.3
Steals 4.9 6.1
Fouls 15.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW ND
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 67.3
% of Possessions with HOW ND
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 29.6%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.3%
Turnover 16.8% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW ND
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 28.8%