NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU ORU
Points 74.1 76.0
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 24.8
Points From Free Throws 13.6 11.2
Shooting NDSU ORU
Field Goals Made 26.4 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 58.7
Field Goal % 46.2% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 13.6 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 14.6
Free Throw % 74.1% 77.1%
Ball Control NDSU ORU
Rebounds 34.2 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 6.1
Turnovers 9.4 7.7
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.7
Steals 3.1 4.6
Fouls 11.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU ORU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 67.6
% of Possessions with NDSU ORU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 27.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 16.9%
Turnover 13.6% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 4.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU ORU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 19.0%