NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK CAN
Points 65.6 65.6
Total Points   131.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 21.6
Points From Free Throws 9.9 9.5
Shooting BUCK CAN
Field Goals Made 24.1 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 59.6
Field Goal % 43.3% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 9.9 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 15.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 59.8%
Ball Control BUCK CAN
Rebounds 33.2 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 13.4
Turnovers 10.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.0
Steals 5.5 5.2
Fouls 13.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK CAN
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 70.2
% of Possessions with BUCK CAN
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 29.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.5%
Turnover 15.9% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK CAN
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 34.6%