NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW PEAY
Points 77.5 80.4
Total Points   158.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 23.4
Points From Free Throws 20.6 16.8
Shooting HOW PEAY
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 57.3
Field Goal % 48.0% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 20.6 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 23.8
Free Throw % 76.0% 70.9%
Ball Control HOW PEAY
Rebounds 34.6 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.2
Turnovers 11.3 7.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.3
Steals 3.6 6.6
Fouls 16.6 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW PEAY
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 71.6
% of Possessions with HOW PEAY
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 25.7%
Player Fouled 25.2% 23.6%
Turnover 16.1% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW PEAY
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 27.5%