NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP TULN
Points 83.6 84.7
Total Points   168.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 46.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 23.8
Points From Free Throws 12.2 14.3
Shooting LIP TULN
Field Goals Made 30.1 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 60.6
Field Goal % 47.1% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 19.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 71.6%
Ball Control LIP TULN
Rebounds 33.6 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 6.2
Turnovers 9.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.3
Steals 5.4 5.7
Fouls 13.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP TULN
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 72.0
% of Possessions with LIP TULN
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 25.1%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.5%
Turnover 13.2% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP TULN
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 19.2%