NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW DSU
Points 80.9 78.5
Total Points   159.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 46.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 13.0
Points From Free Throws 18.0 19.5
Shooting HOW DSU
Field Goals Made 27.0 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 61.0
Field Goal % 50.1% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 48.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 12.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 18.0 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 27.4
Free Throw % 76.6% 71.1%
Ball Control HOW DSU
Rebounds 33.9 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.2
Turnovers 15.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.6
Steals 4.8 8.0
Fouls 17.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW DSU
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 78.3
% of Possessions with HOW DSU
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 54.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 13.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.5%
Turnover 20.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW DSU
Shot Blocked 2.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 34.5%