NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW DSU
Points 73.2 55.4
Total Points   128.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 11.2
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.9
Shooting HOW DSU
Field Goals Made 25.1 18.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 51.3
Field Goal % 48.7% 35.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 38.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 3.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 21.6
Free Throw % 74.0% 69.0%
Ball Control HOW DSU
Rebounds 38.1 28.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 19.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.9
Turnovers 13.3 14.1
Blocked Shots 4.8 1.9
Steals 7.6 6.1
Fouls 16.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW DSU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 64.4
% of Possessions with HOW DSU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 17.0%
Player Fouled 23.7% 24.1%
Turnover 19.1% 20.3%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW DSU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 24.5%