NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU AMCC
Points 71.3 73.2
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 14.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 14.0
Shooting NDSU AMCC
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 60.1
Field Goal % 48.1% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 45.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 19.6
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.6%
Ball Control NDSU AMCC
Rebounds 32.3 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 9.9
Turnovers 13.1 8.1
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.5
Steals 3.4 7.5
Fouls 14.1 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU AMCC
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 72.4
% of Possessions with NDSU AMCC
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 56.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 17.9%
Player Fouled 26.6% 19.9%
Turnover 18.6% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU AMCC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 27.4%