NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU KU
Points 64.2 86.1
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 27.2 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 16.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 12.9
Shooting NDSU KU
Field Goals Made 22.1 33.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 58.6
Field Goal % 39.3% 57.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 44.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 64.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 14.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 11.5 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 18.0
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.4%
Ball Control NDSU KU
Rebounds 27.2 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 7.0
Turnovers 11.8 7.6
Blocked Shots 0.8 5.1
Steals 3.3 6.7
Fouls 13.4 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU KU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 69.8
% of Possessions with NDSU KU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 56.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 18.5%
Player Fouled 18.6% 19.1%
Turnover 16.8% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU KU
Shot Blocked 8.7% 1.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 25.2%