NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK LAF
Points 62.7 59.7
Total Points   122.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 21.2
Points From Free Throws 11.3 9.7
Shooting BUCK LAF
Field Goals Made 21.5 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 56.5
Field Goal % 39.8% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 11.3 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 14.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 68.2%
Ball Control BUCK LAF
Rebounds 37.2 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.9
Turnovers 10.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.7
Steals 5.5 5.9
Fouls 13.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK LAF
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 65.0
% of Possessions with BUCK LAF
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.4%
Turnover 16.6% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK LAF
Shot Blocked 8.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 23.9%