NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP NORAL
Points 83.5 77.1
Total Points   160.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 24.1
Points From Free Throws 15.5 11.8
Shooting LIP NORAL
Field Goals Made 29.8 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 62.7
Field Goal % 50.7% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 15.3
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.2%
Ball Control LIP NORAL
Rebounds 32.8 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 9.2
Turnovers 8.0 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.7
Steals 4.6 3.9
Fouls 12.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP NORAL
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 71.8
% of Possessions with LIP NORAL
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 17.2%
Turnover 11.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP NORAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.8%