NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK NAVY
Points 67.5 62.8
Total Points   130.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 16.7
Points From Free Throws 12.0 15.1
Shooting BUCK NAVY
Field Goals Made 23.8 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 57.0
Field Goal % 46.9% 36.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 41.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 27.8%
Free Throws Made 12.0 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 21.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.0%
Ball Control BUCK NAVY
Rebounds 34.5 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.8
Turnovers 12.0 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.4
Steals 4.3 5.4
Fouls 16.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Navy

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK NAVY
Total Possessions 65.3
Effective Scoring Chances 61.6 69.7
% of Possessions with BUCK NAVY
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 25.1%
Player Fouled 24.3% 24.8%
Turnover 18.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK NAVY
Shot Blocked 4.2% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 32.9%