NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK LEH
Points 67.9 66.3
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 20.0
Points From Free Throws 10.6 14.0
Shooting BUCK LEH
Field Goals Made 24.5 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 55.0
Field Goal % 45.6% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 10.6 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 19.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 72.8%
Ball Control BUCK LEH
Rebounds 34.1 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.4
Turnovers 12.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.3
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 15.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK LEH
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.2 66.2
% of Possessions with BUCK LEH
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 28.9%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.9%
Turnover 17.7% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK LEH
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 21.3%