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Howard at Mt St Marys
Tue Nov 30, 2021
7:00pm ET
Emmitsburg, MD
Howard at Mt St Marys: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mount St. Mary's by 4.5, Total Points: 133
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | HOW | adv | MSM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-19-2 | 12-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-10-1 | 7-14-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-1 | 6-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-14-1 | 6-13-0 |
Howard Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Hampton | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | GA Tech | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | James Mad | +11.5 | L by 21 | -9.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Boston U | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Rutgers | +15.5 | L by 22 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Bryant | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Mt St Marys | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Cincinnati | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | U Penn | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Regent University | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Jackson St | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | TX Southern | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | UCSB | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | La Salle | +7.5 | W by 5 | +12.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Yale | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC Central | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 01/08 | Away | S Car State | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Maryland ES | -11.5 | W by 11 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Morehouse | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 01/20 | Home | Norfolk St | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Morgan St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Coppin St | -8.5 | W by 15 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Neutral | Hampton | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Delaware St | +1.5 | W by 4 | +5.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | NC Central | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | S Car State | -9.0 | L by 7 | -16.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Morgan St | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Coppin St | -14.5 | W by 9 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Maryland ES | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Delaware St | -5.0 | W by 19 | +14.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Norfolk St | +4.0 | L by 19 | -15.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Morgan St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Norfolk St | +4.0 | W by 6 | +10.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Delaware St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Wagner | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
Mt St Marys Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Away | Maryland | +20.5 | L by 15 | +5.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Coppin St | -16.0 | W by 14 | -2.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Georgetown | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | American | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Howard | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Manhattan | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Siena | -9.0 | W by 32 | +23.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Mississippi | +16.0 | L by 9 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Loyola-MD | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 12/15 | Away | St Fran (PA) | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Georgia | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | LIU | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Delaware St | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Canisius | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | St Peters | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Iona | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Marist | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Niagara | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Quinnipiac | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Rider | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Marist | +2.0 | W by 18 | +20.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Siena | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Manhattan | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Quinnipiac | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Rider | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Fairfield | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | St Peters | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Iona | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Canisius | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Niagara | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Fairfield | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Canisius | -4.0 | L by 16 | -20.0 |
| MSM -4.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2992 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mount St. Mary's won the game 1979 times (66.1%).
- The team like Howard won the game 1013 times (33.9%).
- The team like Mount St. Mary's did better against the spread, going 1489-1452-51 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 237 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Howard did better against the spread, going 122-107-8 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/30 06:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:31 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:38 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:22 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:19 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:07 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:25 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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