NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU PORT
Points 78.6 76.5
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.6 25.5
Points From Free Throws 9.3 11.0
Shooting NDSU PORT
Field Goals Made 29.2 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 57.5
Field Goal % 48.9% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.1% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 9.3 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 12.6 15.5
Free Throw % 74.1% 70.9%
Ball Control NDSU PORT
Rebounds 31.7 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 6.6
Turnovers 8.5 8.4
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.5
Steals 3.5 3.6
Fouls 14.2 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU PORT
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 67.1
% of Possessions with NDSU PORT
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 29.2%
Player Fouled 18.6% 20.6%
Turnover 12.3% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU PORT
Shot Blocked 4.3% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 20.8%