NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU KC
Points 69.0 73.1
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 23.2
Points From Free Throws 16.9 12.1
Shooting NDSU KC
Field Goals Made 23.0 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 49.8 58.6
Field Goal % 46.1% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 16.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 16.7
Free Throw % 74.1% 72.1%
Ball Control NDSU KC
Rebounds 31.2 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 9.2
Turnovers 12.1 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.1 4.6
Steals 3.5 5.4
Fouls 14.1 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU KC
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 69.4
% of Possessions with NDSU KC
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 28.1%
Player Fouled 26.7% 20.3%
Turnover 17.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU KC
Shot Blocked 7.9% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 26.5%