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Bucknell at Fairfield
Tue Nov 5, 2019
7:00pm ET
Bridgeport, CT
Bucknell at Fairfield: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Bucknell by 4.5, Total Points: 143.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUCK | adv | FAIR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-13-0 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-0 | 11-11-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 7-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| Away | 13-6-0 | 9-13-1 |
Bucknell Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | U Penn | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Niagara | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | La Salle | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Duke | +34.5 | L by 30 | +4.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | S Indiana | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | St Bonavent | +16.5 | L by 6 | +10.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Marist | +6.5 | L by 24 | -17.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Princeton | +15.5 | L by 14 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Penn St | +21.5 | W by 9 | +30.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Radford | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Merrimack | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | St Peters | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Holy Cross | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | American | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Lehigh | +5.0 | W by 6 | +11.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Colgate | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Boston U | +4.5 | W by 16 | +20.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Lafayette | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Navy | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Army | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Loyola-MD | -8.5 | W by 15 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | American | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Navy | +1.0 | W by 13 | +14.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston U | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Lehigh | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Colgate | +12.5 | L by 12 | +0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Holy Cross | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Army | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Loyola-MD | -3.5 | W by 22 | +18.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lafayette | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | American | +5.5 | W by 23 | +28.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Colgate | +12.0 | L by 3 | +9.0 |
Fairfield Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Boston Col | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Rhode Island | +10.5 | L by 13 | -2.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Mount Saint Mary College | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Drexel | +9.5 | L by 18 | -8.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Queens | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Hampshire | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Iona | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Rider | +4.0 | W by 7 | +11.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Yale | +16.5 | W by 4 | +20.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Sacred Hrt | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Wagner | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | F Dickinson | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Le Moyne | -9.5 | W by 6 | -3.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Siena | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Marist | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Niagara | -2.0 | L by 24 | -26.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Canisius | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | St Peters | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Manhattan | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Quinnipiac | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Iona | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Manhattan | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Rider | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | St Peters | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Niagara | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Mt St Marys | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Quinnipiac | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Siena | -17.5 | W by 24 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Marist | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Canisius | -9.0 | W by 12 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Mt St Marys | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Iona | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Marist | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | St Peters | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Chicago St | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Seattle | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| BUCK -4.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1311 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Bucknell won the game 850 times (64.8%).
- The team like Fairfield won the game 461 times (35.2%).
- The team like Bucknell did better against the spread, going 653-639-19 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2655 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Fairfield did better against the spread, going 1305-1296-54 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/05 06:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/05 06:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 04:39 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 02:24 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 01:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/05 12:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/05 11:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 11:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/05 11:33 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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