NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK FAIR
Points 66.7 70.9
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 27.8
Points From Free Throws 8.9 12.7
Shooting BUCK FAIR
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 58.5
Field Goal % 45.9% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 8.9 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 12.7 17.1
Free Throw % 70.3% 74.0%
Ball Control BUCK FAIR
Rebounds 34.6 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.8
Turnovers 13.1 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.2
Steals 4.8 7.9
Fouls 13.6 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK FAIR
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.0 68.9
% of Possessions with BUCK FAIR
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 35.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.2%
Turnover 19.5% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK FAIR
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 27.0%