NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK BU
Points 65.1 62.7
Total Points   127.8
Points From 2-Pointers 25.3 26.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 23.3
Points From Free Throws 12.0 12.5
Shooting BUCK BU
Field Goals Made 21.9 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 55.4
Field Goal % 42.4% 38.3%
2 Pointers Made 12.7 13.4
2 Pointers Attempted 26.3 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 12.0 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 17.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 72.2%
Ball Control BUCK BU
Rebounds 33.5 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.9
Turnovers 10.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.5
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 14.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK BU
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 61.8 66.1
% of Possessions with BUCK BU
2 Point Attempt 35.6% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 32.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.8%
Turnover 16.3% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK BU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 27.1%