NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK BU
Points 71.3 65.9
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 24.2
Points From Free Throws 14.1 13.4
Shooting BUCK BU
Field Goals Made 24.7 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 54.4
Field Goal % 48.5% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 20.0
Free Throw % 66.8% 66.9%
Ball Control BUCK BU
Rebounds 31.8 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 10.4
Turnovers 11.4 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.8
Steals 6.6 6.5
Fouls 15.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK BU
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 67.1
% of Possessions with BUCK BU
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 30.0%
Player Fouled 24.4% 22.0%
Turnover 16.6% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK BU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 29.0%