NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK BU
Points 69.1 77.2
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 32.9
Points From Free Throws 11.7 12.4
Shooting BUCK BU
Field Goals Made 24.7 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 51.3
Field Goal % 42.6% 52.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 25.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 62.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 42.4%
Free Throws Made 11.7 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 17.1
Free Throw % 76.9% 72.4%
Ball Control BUCK BU
Rebounds 28.7 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.2
Turnovers 8.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.7
Steals 7.5 4.7
Fouls 14.2 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK BU
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 62.2
% of Possessions with BUCK BU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 34.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 34.7%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.4%
Turnover 12.7% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK BU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 26.4%