NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK PRIN
Points 64.0 72.2
Total Points   136.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 30.0
Points From Free Throws 8.5 14.3
Shooting BUCK PRIN
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 55.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 24.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 8.5 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 12.1 18.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 78.3%
Ball Control BUCK PRIN
Rebounds 32.6 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 7.3
Turnovers 10.8 6.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.3
Steals 4.0 5.4
Fouls 16.1 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK PRIN
Total Possessions 64.9
Effective Scoring Chances 60.9 65.7
% of Possessions with BUCK PRIN
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 33.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 41.5%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.8%
Turnover 16.6% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 22.1%