NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU UTRGV
Points 79.0 73.4
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 44.9 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 14.5
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.5
Shooting NDSU UTRGV
Field Goals Made 29.5 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 57.7
Field Goal % 51.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.4
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.1%
Ball Control NDSU UTRGV
Rebounds 34.7 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 6.8
Turnovers 12.4 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.8
Steals 3.8 6.6
Fouls 14.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU UTRGV
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 70.2
% of Possessions with NDSU UTRGV
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 19.2%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.1%
Turnover 17.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU UTRGV
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 19.9%