NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP CARK
Points 86.4 72.0
Total Points   158.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 25.8
Points From Free Throws 13.1 9.8
Shooting LIP CARK
Field Goals Made 30.8 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 62.7
Field Goal % 50.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 43.1% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 13.1 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 13.1
Free Throw % 77.5% 75.3%
Ball Control LIP CARK
Rebounds 34.5 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 10.1
Turnovers 8.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.7
Steals 7.0 5.1
Fouls 10.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP CARK
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 71.1
% of Possessions with LIP CARK
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 28.4%
Player Fouled 19.3% 15.0%
Turnover 12.3% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP CARK
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 26.9%