NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME BRAD
Points 56.2 73.3
Total Points   129.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 21.1
Points From Free Throws 12.2 12.0
Shooting ME BRAD
Field Goals Made 19.4 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 55.8
Field Goal % 35.9% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 12.2 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 16.1
Free Throw % 71.4% 74.3%
Ball Control ME BRAD
Rebounds 29.0 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.4
Turnovers 12.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.2
Steals 7.4 7.0
Fouls 13.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME BRAD
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 66.4
% of Possessions with ME BRAD
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 25.8%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.7%
Turnover 17.5% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME BRAD
Shot Blocked 7.6% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 30.3%