NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME WASH
Points 65.1 80.7
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 46.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 18.9
Points From Free Throws 12.2 15.0
Shooting ME WASH
Field Goals Made 23.6 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 58.6
Field Goal % 39.6% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 23.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 12.2 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 20.9
Free Throw % 71.4% 71.5%
Ball Control ME WASH
Rebounds 30.2 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.1
Turnovers 11.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.8
Steals 6.9 5.9
Fouls 16.8 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME WASH
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 71.4
% of Possessions with ME WASH
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 21.7%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.9%
Turnover 14.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME WASH
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.4% 28.1%