NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ME CLMB
Points 69.5 70.6
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 19.9
Points From Free Throws 11.0 12.4
Shooting ME CLMB
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 56.2
Field Goal % 46.1% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 17.4
Free Throw % 71.4% 71.3%
Ball Control ME CLMB
Rebounds 30.8 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 9.1
Turnovers 10.9 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.2
Steals 7.3 6.7
Fouls 13.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ME CLMB
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 66.8
% of Possessions with ME CLMB
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 23.3%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.8%
Turnover 15.4% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ME CLMB
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 27.6%