NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY BUCK
Points 56.6 63.6
Total Points   120.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.2 26.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 25.9
Points From Free Throws 8.5 10.8
Shooting ARMY BUCK
Field Goals Made 20.2 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 52.3
Field Goal % 37.5% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 13.4
2 Pointers Attempted 27.8 27.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 8.5 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 15.4
Free Throw % 60.0% 70.3%
Ball Control ARMY BUCK
Rebounds 34.1 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.8
Turnovers 10.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.2
Steals 5.1 6.4
Fouls 14.5 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY BUCK
Total Possessions 63.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 61.3
% of Possessions with ARMY BUCK
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 34.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.8%
Turnover 16.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY BUCK
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.1%