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Army vs. Buffalo
Sat Nov 28, 2020
3:00pm ET
Hartford, CT
(Neutral Site)
Army vs. Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 11, Total Points: 151
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARMY | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-15-2 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-11-1 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | L5 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-9-2 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 9-6-0 | 9-7-0 |
Army Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Marist | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Stonehill | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Indiana | +25.5 | L by 8 | +17.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Quinnipiac | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | Albany | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Binghamton | +9.0 | L by 7 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Central Conn | -2.5 | L by 28 | -30.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SUNY-Maritime | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 12/05 | Home | Le Moyne | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Harvard | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Stony Brook | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | UTSA | +6.5 | W by 10 | +16.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Merchant Marine Academy | -- | W by 8 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Lafayette | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Holy Cross | -6.0 | W by 13 | +7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Loyola-MD | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | American | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Colgate | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Navy | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Boston U | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bucknell | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Colgate | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Lafayette | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Lehigh | +7.0 | W by 11 | +18.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Navy | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Boston U | +1.0 | W by 15 | +16.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Holy Cross | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Lehigh | +2.5 | L by 31 | -28.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Bucknell | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | American | +4.5 | L by 22 | -17.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Loyola-MD | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Holy Cross | -5.0 | L by 16 | -21.0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| BUFF -11.0 | Open | -10.0 | High | -11.0 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1724 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 1482 times (86.0%).
- The team like Army won the game 242 times (14.0%).
- The team like Army did better against the spread, going 864-839-21 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 29 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Army did better against the spread, going 16-13 (55.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 02:56 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:05 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:22 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:35 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:29 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:50 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:20 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
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