NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY BUFF
Points 63.9 64.7
Total Points   128.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 21.3
Points From Free Throws 8.0 11.0
Shooting ARMY BUFF
Field Goals Made 24.0 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 55.7
Field Goal % 40.2% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 8.0 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 15.3
Free Throw % 60.0% 71.6%
Ball Control ARMY BUFF
Rebounds 36.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.2
Turnovers 10.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.4
Steals 5.8 6.1
Fouls 12.9 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY BUFF
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 64.9
% of Possessions with ARMY BUFF
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.5% 19.1%
Turnover 15.4% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY BUFF
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 23.8%