NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY FLA
Points 58.7 84.7
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 24.0
Points From Free Throws 9.3 18.6
Shooting ARMY FLA
Field Goals Made 21.4 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 59.5
Field Goal % 36.5% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.6% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 9.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 25.3
Free Throw % 60.0% 73.2%
Ball Control ARMY FLA
Rebounds 30.0 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.5
Turnovers 11.3 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.7
Steals 4.9 7.2
Fouls 17.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY FLA
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 74.9
% of Possessions with ARMY FLA
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 25.4%
Player Fouled 19.5% 24.3%
Turnover 16.1% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY FLA
Shot Blocked 9.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 36.5%