NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY L-MD
Points 62.8 60.6
Total Points   123.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 21.3
Points From Free Throws 8.5 10.5
Shooting ARMY L-MD
Field Goals Made 23.4 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 52.9
Field Goal % 45.0% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 8.5 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 16.4
Free Throw % 60.0% 64.1%
Ball Control ARMY L-MD
Rebounds 32.0 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.0
Turnovers 10.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 1.7
Steals 5.6 6.3
Fouls 14.5 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY L-MD
Total Possessions 64.3
Effective Scoring Chances 60.9 62.7
% of Possessions with ARMY L-MD
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 27.9%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.6%
Turnover 15.7% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY L-MD
Shot Blocked 3.3% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 26.3%