NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY LEH
Points 61.1 66.9
Total Points   128.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 20.6
Points From Free Throws 8.1 13.5
Shooting ARMY LEH
Field Goals Made 22.8 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 53.5
Field Goal % 42.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 8.1 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 18.5
Free Throw % 60.0% 72.8%
Ball Control ARMY LEH
Rebounds 33.3 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 6.4
Turnovers 12.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.1
Steals 5.3 7.5
Fouls 15.5 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY LEH
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 62.2 64.1
% of Possessions with ARMY LEH
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 27.4%
Player Fouled 19.7% 23.0%
Turnover 18.3% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY LEH
Shot Blocked 3.9% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 19.4%