NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY URI
Points 63.4 71.7
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 21.0
Points From Free Throws 8.1 15.3
Shooting ARMY URI
Field Goals Made 23.5 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 52.1
Field Goal % 40.5% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 8.1 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 23.1
Free Throw % 60.0% 66.1%
Ball Control ARMY URI
Rebounds 31.9 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.6
Turnovers 9.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 2.7
Steals 5.3 4.9
Fouls 16.8 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY URI
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 65.4
% of Possessions with ARMY URI
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 24.8%
Player Fouled 19.7% 25.2%
Turnover 13.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY URI
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 27.3%