NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY BU
Points 58.6 63.3
Total Points   121.9
Points From 2-Pointers 24.4 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 23.9
Points From Free Throws 9.1 12.0
Shooting ARMY BU
Field Goals Made 20.6 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 53.7
Field Goal % 39.8% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 12.2 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 27.1 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 9.1 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 16.7
Free Throw % 60.0% 72.2%
Ball Control ARMY BU
Rebounds 32.9 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 8.5
Turnovers 10.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.1
Steals 5.2 6.7
Fouls 14.1 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY BU
Total Possessions 64.7
Effective Scoring Chances 60.8 63.7
% of Possessions with ARMY BU
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 30.9%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.8%
Turnover 16.8% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY BU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 24.7%