NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY VILL
Points 52.0 72.4
Total Points   124.4
Points From 2-Pointers 21.7 28.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 30.2
Points From Free Throws 5.9 13.6
Shooting ARMY VILL
Field Goals Made 19.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 53.3
Field Goal % 35.3% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 10.8 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 25.7 25.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 5.9 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 9.8 17.1
Free Throw % 60.0% 79.7%
Ball Control ARMY VILL
Rebounds 30.4 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 6.7
Turnovers 10.9 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.8
Steals 4.5 6.1
Fouls 14.0 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY VILL
Total Possessions 64.1
Effective Scoring Chances 59.8 63.0
% of Possessions with ARMY VILL
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 39.1% 37.9%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.8%
Turnover 16.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY VILL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 22.1%