NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB CHAR
Points 72.5 69.7
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 19.3
Points From Free Throws 17.0 14.7
Shooting UAB CHAR
Field Goals Made 25.2 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 54.5
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 17.0 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 19.5
Free Throw % 74.3% 75.2%
Ball Control UAB CHAR
Rebounds 36.5 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.9
Turnovers 8.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.7
Steals 5.6 4.9
Fouls 14.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB CHAR
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 66.0
% of Possessions with UAB CHAR
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 26.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 21.7%
Turnover 12.8% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB CHAR
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 24.2%