NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB SLU
Points 84.2 76.8
Total Points   161.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.1 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 24.8
Points From Free Throws 20.4 15.3
Shooting UAB SLU
Field Goals Made 28.4 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 57.9
Field Goal % 48.8% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 20.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 20.4
Free Throw % 74.3% 75.1%
Ball Control UAB SLU
Rebounds 36.3 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.6
Turnovers 8.3 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.4
Steals 6.3 5.3
Fouls 14.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB SLU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 69.7
% of Possessions with UAB SLU
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 26.6%
Player Fouled 24.2% 20.7%
Turnover 11.5% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB SLU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 25.5%