NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB LT
Points 70.9 72.2
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 20.9
Points From Free Throws 18.6 15.3
Shooting UAB LT
Field Goals Made 23.1 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 59.1
Field Goal % 40.6% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.6 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 21.8
Free Throw % 74.3% 70.3%
Ball Control UAB LT
Rebounds 35.8 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.4
Turnovers 9.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.5
Steals 6.2 6.4
Fouls 14.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB LT
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 72.4
% of Possessions with UAB LT
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 22.9%
Player Fouled 22.2% 21.1%
Turnover 13.9% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB LT
Shot Blocked 9.5% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 33.0%