NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB WKU
Points 82.7 76.1
Total Points   158.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 42.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 20.4
Points From Free Throws 19.8 13.4
Shooting UAB WKU
Field Goals Made 28.0 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 63.7
Field Goal % 47.3% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 19.8 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 18.5
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.7%
Ball Control UAB WKU
Rebounds 38.4 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.9
Turnovers 11.2 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.5
Steals 6.4 6.9
Fouls 14.5 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB WKU
Total Possessions 76.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 74.4
% of Possessions with UAB WKU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 23.0%
Player Fouled 23.6% 19.0%
Turnover 14.6% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB WKU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 26.0%