NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB UNT
Points 71.4 71.1
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 24.5
Points From Free Throws 18.6 12.8
Shooting UAB UNT
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 58.9
Field Goal % 44.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 18.6 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 17.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 75.1%
Ball Control UAB UNT
Rebounds 36.1 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.0
Turnovers 10.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.8
Steals 5.8 6.6
Fouls 12.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB UNT
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 69.0
% of Possessions with UAB UNT
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 27.1%
Player Fouled 24.1% 19.0%
Turnover 15.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB UNT
Shot Blocked 6.6% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 30.8%