NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB FAU
Points 76.7 80.7
Total Points   157.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 23.0
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.7
Shooting UAB FAU
Field Goals Made 27.4 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 60.6
Field Goal % 44.1% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 21.6
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.6%
Ball Control UAB FAU
Rebounds 36.6 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.1
Turnovers 10.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 5.3 6.5
Fouls 15.4 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB FAU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 74.0
% of Possessions with UAB FAU
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 26.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.2%
Turnover 13.7% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB FAU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 31.3%