NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP CREI
Points 61.7 90.7
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 39.1
Points From Free Throws 7.9 11.7
Shooting DEP CREI
Field Goals Made 24.3 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 60.6
Field Goal % 38.3% 54.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 68.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 7.9 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 10.7 14.5
Free Throw % 73.8% 80.8%
Ball Control DEP CREI
Rebounds 28.4 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 33.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 7.6
Turnovers 8.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.1
Steals 4.6 4.2
Fouls 12.3 10.8

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP CREI
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.4
% of Possessions with DEP CREI
2 Point Attempt 59.8% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 40.0%
Player Fouled 15.4% 17.4%
Turnover 11.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP CREI
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.2% 26.1%