NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEP HALL
Points 63.3 83.5
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 45.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 24.3
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.1
Shooting DEP HALL
Field Goals Made 22.4 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 60.3
Field Goal % 40.7% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 17.5
Free Throw % 73.8% 80.5%
Ball Control DEP HALL
Rebounds 26.8 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 11.4
Turnovers 12.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.5
Steals 5.7 8.1
Fouls 12.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEP HALL
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 71.2
% of Possessions with DEP HALL
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 26.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.5%
Turnover 18.6% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEP HALL
Shot Blocked 9.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 36.5%