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Duke at Ohio St
Tue Nov 30, 2021
9:30pm ET
Columbus, OH
Duke at Ohio St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 3, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | OSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-1 | 17-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 8-11-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 9-7-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
Ohio St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Oakland | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Merrimack | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Alabama | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Central Mich | -24.0 | W by 27 | +3.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Minnesota | -12.5 | W by 10 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Miami (OH) | -22.5 | W by 20 | -2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Penn St | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | UCLA | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | New Orleans | -24.0 | W by 42 | +18.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | W Virginia | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Rutgers | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | L by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Penn St | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Nebraska | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Northwestern | +3.0 | L by 25 | -22.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Iowa | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +9.0 | L by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Purdue | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan St | +10.0 | W by 3 | +13.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Nebraska | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 23 | +11.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Rutgers | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Iowa | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Illinois | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Cornell | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | VA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/26 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| DUKE -3.0 | Open | -3.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1994 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 1162 times (58.3%).
- The team like Ohio St won the game 832 times (41.7%).
- The team like Ohio St did better against the spread, going 981-965-48 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3340 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 1649-1639-52 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/30 09:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/30 09:31 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/30 09:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/30 08:37 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/30 07:49 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:25 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:49 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:10 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 03:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 03:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/30 03:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/30 02:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/30 01:43 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/30 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/30 12:49 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:16 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:58 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/30 10:59 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:37 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:11 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:04 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/30 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/30 09:49 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/30 09:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/30 09:17 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/30 08:25 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:58 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:55 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 03:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/30 03:22 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/30 01:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/30 01:34 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/29 09:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 09:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/29 06:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 05:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/29 04:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/29 04:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 02:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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