ATS Situational Trends

Record DUKE adv LOU
Season 20-13-1 13-18-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-1 9-11-1
Streak W2 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 7-3-0 3-7-0
Home 11-7-0 5-12-1
Away 9-6-1 8-6-0

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Dartmouth -28.0 W by 38 +10.0
11/10 Home Arizona -5.0 L by 5 -10.0
11/14 Neutral Michigan St -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
11/17 Home Bucknell -34.5 W by 30 -4.5
11/21 Home La Salle -25.5 W by 29 +3.5
11/24 Home S Indiana -36.5 W by 18 -18.5
11/29 Away Arkansas -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
12/02 Away GA Tech -12.5 L by 4 -16.5
12/09 Home Charlotte -16.5 W by 24 +7.5
12/12 Home Hofstra -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
12/20 Neutral Baylor -2.0 W by 8 +6.0
12/30 Home Queens -28.0 W by 37 +9.0
01/02 Home Syracuse -14.5 W by 20 +5.5
01/06 Away Notre Dame -14.5 W by 8 -6.5
01/09 Away Pittsburgh -5.0 W by 22 +17.0
01/13 Home GA Tech -17.5 W by 5 -12.5
01/20 Home Pittsburgh -12.5 L by 4 -16.5
01/23 Away Louisville -14.0 W by 14 0.0
01/27 Home Clemson -7.5 W by 1 -6.5
01/29 Away VA Tech -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
02/03 Away N Carolina +4.5 L by 9 -4.5
02/07 Home Notre Dame -17.0 W by 18 +1.0
02/10 Home Boston Col -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
02/12 Home Wake Forest -7.0 W by 8 +1.0
02/17 Away Florida St -6.0 W by 9 +3.0
02/21 Away Miami -7.0 W by 29 +22.0
02/24 Away Wake Forest +3.0 L by 4 -1.0
02/28 Home Louisville -20.5 W by 25 +4.5
03/02 Home Virginia -10.0 W by 25 +15.0
03/04 Away NC State -6.5 W by 15 +8.5
03/09 Home N Carolina -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
03/14 Neutral NC State -11.0 L by 5 -16.0
03/22 Neutral Vermont -12.5 W by 17 +4.5
03/24 Neutral James Mad -6.0 W by 38 +32.0

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Maryland BC -7.5 W by 1 -6.5
11/10 Home Chattanooga -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
11/15 Home Coppin St -17.5 W by 20 +2.5
11/19 Neutral Texas +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/20 Neutral Indiana +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
11/26 Home N Mex State -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
11/29 Home Bellarmine -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
12/03 Away VA Tech +14.0 L by 7 +7.0
12/09 Away DePaul +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/13 Home Arkansas St -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
12/17 Home Pepperdine -1.0 W by 22 +21.0
12/21 Home Kentucky +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
01/03 Away Virginia +15.5 L by 24 -8.5
01/06 Home Pittsburgh +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
01/10 Away Miami +16.5 W by 9 +25.5
01/13 Home NC State +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
01/17 Away N Carolina +21.0 L by 16 +5.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +16.0 L by 25 -9.0
01/23 Home Duke +14.0 L by 14 0.0
01/27 Home Virginia +9.0 L by 17 -8.0
01/30 Away Clemson +16.0 L by 6 +10.0
02/03 Home Florida St +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
02/07 Away Syracuse +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
02/10 Home GA Tech -1.0 W by 12 +11.0
02/13 Away Boston Col +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
02/17 Away Pittsburgh +12.5 L by 27 -14.5
02/21 Home Notre Dame -3.0 L by 22 -25.0
02/28 Away Duke +20.5 L by 25 -4.5
03/02 Home Syracuse +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
03/05 Home VA Tech +7.5 L by 16 -8.5
03/09 Home Boston Col +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/12 Neutral NC State +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
DUKE -6.5 Open -8.5 High -8.5
Last -6.0 Low -5.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1211 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Duke won the game 867 times (71.6%).
  • The team like Louisville won the game 344 times (28.4%).
  • The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 597-592-22 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1036 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 511-500-25 (50.5% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -6.0 -6.5 -6.5
Open -8.5 -8.5 -6.5
History
01/29 11:56 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 11:54 AM -- -6.5 --
01/29 11:26 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 11:15 AM -- -- -6.5
01/29 11:04 AM -- -6.5 --
01/29 10:31 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 09:54 AM -- -6.0 --
01/29 09:52 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 09:04 AM -- -6.0 --
01/29 08:55 AM -- -- -6.0
01/29 08:52 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 08:44 AM -- -5.5 --
01/29 08:35 AM -- -- -5.5
01/29 08:31 AM -5.5 -- --
01/29 08:04 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 07:54 AM -- -6.0 --
01/29 07:35 AM -- -- -6.0
01/29 07:24 AM -- -6.0 --
01/29 07:10 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 06:44 AM -- -6.0 --
01/29 06:28 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 04:19 AM -6.0 -- --
01/29 02:46 AM -6.0 -- --
01/28 10:44 PM -- -6.5 --
01/28 10:35 PM -- -- -6.5
01/28 10:31 PM -6.0 -- --
01/28 08:24 PM -- -7.0 --
01/28 08:10 PM -7.0 -- --
01/28 08:01 PM -7.0 -- --
01/28 07:34 PM -- -8.5 --
01/28 07:22 PM -8.5 -- --
01/28 06:34 PM -- -8.5 --
01/28 06:26 PM -8.5 -- --