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Duke at Wake Forest
Tue Feb 25, 2020
7:00pm ET
Winston-Salem, NC
Duke at Wake Forest: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 11, Total Points: 153
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-1 | 18-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 13-5-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 5-11-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Elon | -19.5 | W by 23 | +3.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Utah | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Towson | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Charl South | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Florida | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rutgers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NJIT | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Delaware St | -20.0 | W by 29 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Presbyterian | -21.5 | W by 23 | +1.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Florida St | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Virginia | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | NC State | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | N Carolina | +8.0 | L by 21 | -13.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Syracuse | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | GA Tech | -5.0 | W by 29 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Virginia | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.0 | W by 33 | +27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Duke | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | GA Tech | -13.5 | L by 1 | -14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Clemson | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | App State | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Georgia | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
| DUKE -11.0 | Open | -11.0 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -11.5 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 373 games where the closing line favored the away team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 320 times (85.8%).
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 53 times (14.2%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 181-179-13 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3591 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 1770-1753-68 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -12.0 | -11.5 |
| Open | -10.0 | -10.0 | -10.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/25 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/25 06:52 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/25 06:44 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 06:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 02/25 06:00 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 02/25 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/25 03:28 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 02/25 01:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/25 11:46 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:54 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/25 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/25 10:44 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:18 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:54 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 02/25 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/25 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/25 08:13 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 07:59 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:41 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:44 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/25 12:43 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 02/24 10:24 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 02/24 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 02/24 09:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 02/24 08:14 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 07:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 02/24 06:54 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:39 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
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