NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUKE WAKE
Points 75.4 73.1
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 19.0
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.3
Shooting DUKE WAKE
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 56.1
Field Goal % 46.2% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 16.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 79.2%
Ball Control DUKE WAKE
Rebounds 33.3 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 6.9
Turnovers 8.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.9
Steals 5.8 4.6
Fouls 15.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUKE WAKE
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 65.9
% of Possessions with DUKE WAKE
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.7% 22.6%
Turnover 12.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUKE WAKE
Shot Blocked 8.8% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 22.3%