NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU
Points 73.0 57.3
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 21.4
Points From Free Throws 12.4 6.4
Shooting CCSU
Field Goals Made 26.6 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 54.5
Field Goal % 47.2% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 12.4 6.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 10.6
Free Throw % 71.4% 60.7%
Ball Control CCSU
Rebounds 36.4 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.1
Turnovers 9.5 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.4
Steals 7.4 5.4
Fouls 11.0 13.0

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 61.0
% of Possessions with CCSU
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 29.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 16.2%
Turnover 14.1% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 20.6%