NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUKE VT
Points 78.0 71.4
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 19.8
Points From Free Throws 14.1 12.9
Shooting DUKE VT
Field Goals Made 28.3 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.3
Field Goal % 49.6% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 16.2
Free Throw % 71.6% 79.8%
Ball Control DUKE VT
Rebounds 34.0 28.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 6.6
Turnovers 8.7 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 6.2 4.1
Fouls 14.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUKE VT
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 64.8
% of Possessions with DUKE VT
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 27.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.8%
Turnover 12.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUKE VT
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 21.3%